“Don’t Draft” Players in Fantasy Football 2022
There’s always players that you just can’t leave your draft without on, to the point where you’ll draft them one or two rounds ahead of where they’re expected to be drafted. But in this week’s article, I’ll give you guys players where you’ll have the exact polar opposite reaction towards — players who you won’t even bare to draft because they’ll likely do nothing to the point where they feel like they’re wasting a roster spot.
You never want to bet against the best players in the entire league, especially a future hall of famer like Rodgers, but this year he’s destined to disappoint fantasy managers. Throughout his entire career, Rodgers has always had a bonafide superstar WR1, from Greg Jennings to Jordy Nelson, and most recently, Davante Adams. The issue is, Adams is not a Green Bay Packer anymore. Did you know that 33% of Aaron Rodgers’ touchdowns since 2016 have gone to Adams? Without a true WR1 on the roster and a mostly inexperienced receiving room, Rodgers is going to be in for a tough time. The offensive line won’t be fully healthy to start the season at all — Elgton Jenkins and David Bakthiari are both recovering from serious knee injuries. Combine that with the fact that Rodgers barely adds anything with his legs and a change in offensive coordinator, it’s hard to see a ceiling or any upside in drafting the back-to-back MVP. Looking at the QBs going around or after him, such as Joe Burrow, Russell Wilson, and Matthew Stafford, they all have a better supporting cast and situation than Rodgers, and you’d be much better off drafting any of them.
There’s no doubt denying how efficient Harris has been throughout his NFL career thus far, but the chances of him repeating another 15 touchdown season is extremely unlikely, especially with him stuck in a 50/50 split with Rhamondre Stevenson, who by the way, has been looking impressive in training camp. Harris adds extremely little through the passing game, as the most receiving yards he’s ever had was 132 yards on only 18 catches. In standard leagues, Harris is still a fine selection, but in a PPR league, he shouldn’t be on your radar, as he simply doesn’t have a safe floor and high ceiling due to the lack of attention he sees as a receiver. With touchdown regression bound to happen and the potential breakout of Rhamondre Stevenson, there are much better options such as Devin Singletary, Kareem Hunt, Tony Pollard, and AJ Dillon who I’ll take over Harris.
The Miami Dolphins have always been extremely unpredictable in terms of their running back room, and now they are even more unpredictable with the hiring of Mike McDaniel as their head coach, who was formerly the offensive coordinator of the 49ers. McDaniel was known for utilizing a “hot hand” approach in the running back room, sticking with the player who performed the best every week. As a result, Chase Edmonds’ starting job could be gone in the matter of a few weeks. He has durability issues and can’t handle a bell-cow type role, meaning he’s not going to give you a safe floor and will instead be highly boom or bust. Edmonds is someone that excels in the passing game, but with a plethora of receiving options at Tua Tagovailoa’s disposal, it’s hard to imagine Edmonds seeing a lot of targets, which is where he gains a lot of his fantasy value through. I would take Rhamondre Stevenson, Rashaad Penny, and Melvin Gordon over Edmonds.
His teammate DK Metcalf is already an extremely risky pick, but Tyler Lockett should not even be drafted at all around his ADP of WR29. The truth is, Lockett might not even finish as a top 40 WR. With Russell Wilson gone, no quarterback on the depth chart has a playstyle that matches well with Lockett’s role as a deep threat receiver. To put into perspective how bad Lockett has been without Russell Wilson, last season he averaged only 9 fantasy points per game without him. The massive downgrade at QB plus the run-heavy Seahawks offense just doesn’t justify drafting Lockett at his hefty ADP. With players like Michael Thomas, Allen Robinson, and JuJu Smith-Schuster around him, Lockett just doesn’t have as high of a floor or ceiling as any of them, and he’ll be someone I’ll look to avoid at all costs.
After a monstrous rookie season, Claypool’s performance declined drastically in his sophomore year, mainly because of touchdown regression, but also due to Ben Roethlisberger’s play reaching an all-time low. With Big Ben retired, the Steelers QB situation is extremely frisky. Claypool is a player that relies on big plays, and it’s hard to see him seeing many air yards with both Mitchell Trubisky and Kenny Pickett not being known for throwing deep balls. Also, Claypool is currently listed as the WR2 on the Steelers depth chart, but that could change quickly with rookie George Pickens tearing up training camp right now. There are so many better options than Claypool around his ADP, such as Kadarius Toney, Chris Olave, and Brandon Aiyuk.
Dallas Goedert has always been an intriguing option in fantasy due to him being frequently targeted in the Eagles offense, but with the offseason addition of A.J. Brown, there’s a high chance that he’ll now be the third option in the passing offense. With the Eagles being run-heavy and Jalen Hurts not being an incredibly effective passer, plus the fact that Goedert is just not a huge factor in the touchdown department (he still hasn’t scored five touchdowns in a single season yet), it just doesn’t justify drafting him at his high ADP in round seven due to the massive dip in targets he’ll be seeing. Zach Ertz, T.J. Hockenson, and a healthy Irv Smith Jr are players with a higher opportunity and clearer role than Goedert.